Match stats

Logo Estonia Logo Israel
53 Ball possession (%) 47
8 Goal attempts 16
2 Shots on Goal 7
5 Shots off Goal 4
1 Blocked shots 5

Estonia vs Israel: prediction & betting odds 6 June 2025

The Matchday 3 clash in the 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifiers between Estonia and Israel will take place on June 6 at the A. Le Coq Arena in Tallinn. Estonia vs. Israel: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Estonia

In the first round of the current qualifying cycle, Jürgen Henn's side lost to Israel (1-2), but in the next match, the team managed to defeat Moldova away with a score of 3-2, ending a streak of four losses in World Cup qualifiers. Notably, Estonia has conceded at least two goals in four consecutive matches in this tournament. However, the team has earned three points and currently sits in second place in Group I.

  • At home, Estonia has scored in 5 of their last 6 World Cup qualifying matches.
  • The team has lost 6 of their last 8 home games in this tournament (2 wins).
  • On home soil, the team has not conceded more than two goals in 12 of their last 14 World Cup qualifying matches.

Predicted lineup for Estonia (4-4-2)

Karl Hein – Michael Schønning-Larsen, Maksim Paskotsi, Märten Kuusk, Joseph Saliste – Markus Poom, Vlasi Sinjavski, Markus Soomets, Martin Miller – Alex Tamm, Rauno Sappinen.

Defender Rasmus Pitson and midfielder Kevor Palumets will miss the match due to suspensions (Pitson is also injured). Defenders Kristo Hussar and Joonas Tamm have left the squad due to injuries. Tanel Tammik and Brent Lepistu have been called up as replacements.

Israel

Ran Ben Shimon's side started this qualifying cycle with a victory over Estonia, but they could not handle Norway in the next round, losing 2-4. Notably, the team's scoring streak in this tournament stretches to six matches, but Israel has conceded in eight consecutive World Cup qualifying games. In Group I, the team occupies third place, trailing their upcoming opponents only on tiebreakers.

  • Both teams scored in Israel's last 6 World Cup qualifying matches.
  • In their last 10 away games in this tournament, the team has shown uncompromising results: 5 wins and 5 losses.
  • Israel has conceded in 6 of their last 8 away World Cup qualifying matches.

Predicted lineup for Israel (4-4-2)

Omri Glazer – Raz Shlomo, Roy Revivo, Eliezer Dasa, Idan Nachmias – Mahmoud Jaber, Oscar Gloukh, Dan Biton, Mohammad Abu Fani – Dor Turgeman, Manor Solomon.

Forwards Tai Baribo, Osher Davida, and Stav Turiel have left the squad due to injuries.

Referee

Willy Delajod (France)

Matches – 6 (International matches, 2024/25);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 23;

Average yellow cards per match – 3.8;

Red cards shown – 1;

Average fouls per match – 24;

Penalties – 50%.

Estonia vs. Israel: Match Prediction

The teams are already familiar with each other, having faced off in March with Israel emerging victorious 2-1. Notably, Ran Ben Shimon's side dominated in many statistical categories. I believe Israel has a better chance of earning points in this upcoming match.

Israel has been inconsistent on the road in World Cup qualifiers but usually only falters against superior opponents. In the previous qualifying cycle, the team comfortably defeated the Faroe Islands and Moldova away. Estonia, even at home, rarely delights their supporters: in their last 8 World Cup qualifying matches, they have only two wins and six losses.

Additionally, matches involving Israel tend to be high-scoring, with at least two goals scored in the team's last 10 World Cup qualifying games. I expect this trend to continue in the upcoming encounter.

My prediction: Israel will not lose and Total over 1.5 goals

Betting tips 6 June 2025

Estonia and Israel have already met once at the start of the 2026 World Cup qualifying campaign, with Israel narrowly winning (2:1). With Italy now part of the group, both teams face only a slim chance of finishing in the top two. There’s a general expectation of an Israel win in the upcoming fixture, due to their clear advantage in squad quality.

Their previous meeting, played on neutral ground in Debrecen, saw Estonia take the lead early on but falter late in the game. Eli Dasa scored for Israel, while Markus Soomets left the squad in a difficult position after receiving a red card. Against the group’s lowest-ranked side, Moldova, the Baltic team laboured to a 3:2 win, despite enjoying a numerical advantage from the 5th to the 48th minute. They recorded just 1.55 xG across the match. The team will likely once again lean on goalkeeper Karl Hein, who had a solid season with Real Valladolid and is currently part of the Arsenal setup.

Israel finished their UEFA Nations League group stage on a high, collecting four points from fixtures against France (0:0) and Belgium (1:0). Those results appear to have bolstered confidence within the squad, particularly under a more structured, defensive approach. In the reverse fixture against Estonia, they limited the opposition to only 0.34 xGA and three shots on target. A similar level of discipline and concentration is anticipated in Friday’s game.

With the parallel clash between Norway and Italy attracting greater attention, this fixture may fly under the radar. We expect both sides to limit each other's opportunities, and we’re backing a low-scoring affair.

Betting prediction
Total Under 2.5
Cf
Odds
17/20
Bet now

Estonia vs Israel Odds

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World Cup: previous matches in the tournament

Estonia
25.03.25
Moldova
Estonia
W
22.03.25
Israel
Estonia
L
More matches
Israel
25.03.25
Israel
Norway
L
22.03.25
Israel
Estonia
W
More matches

H2H: Estonia — Israel

World Cup
22.03.25
Israel
Estonia

Group stage

WC Qualification Europe: Group I
Team
Played
Matches played
W
D
L
Goals
Goals
Points
Points
1
Norway
  -:- -:- 3:0 -:- 2 2 0 0
9:2
6
2
Estonia
-:-   1:3 -:- -:- 2 1 0 1
4:4
3
3
Israel
2:4 2:1   -:- -:- 2 1 0 1
4:5
3
4
Italy
-:- -:- -:-   -:- 0 0 0 0
0:0
0
5
Moldova
0:5 2:3 -:- -:-   2 0 0 2
2:8
0

Team lineups

Estonia

Ran Ben Shimon
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Daniel Peretz
gk. 0 0
Eli Dasa
df. 0 0
Idan Nachmias
df. 0 0
Raz Shlomo
df. 0 0
Roy Revivo
df. 0 0
Dan Biton
mf. 0 0
Eliel Peretz
mf. 0 0
Mohammed Abu Fani
mf. 0 0
Oscar Gloukh
mf. 0 0
Dor David Turgeman
fw. 0 0
Manor Solomon
fw. 0 0
Substitutes
Karl Andre Vallner
gk. 0 0
Matvei Igonen
gk. 0 0
Brent Lepistu
df. 0 0
Erko Jonne Tõugjas
df. 0 0
Tanel Tammik
df. 0 0
Dimitri Jepihhin
mf. 0 0
Markus Poom
mf. 0 0
Martin Miller
mf. 0 0
Mihkel Ainsalu
mf. 0 0
Patrik Kristal
mf. 0 0
Robi Saarma
mf. 0 0
Henri Anier
fw. 0 0
Israel

Jürgen Henn
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Karl Jakob Hein
gk. 0 0
Joseph Saliste
df. 0 0
Maksim Paskotsi
df. 0 0
Michael Schjønning-Larsen
df. 0 0
Märten Kuusk
df. 0 0
Markus Soomets
mf. 0 0
Mattias Käit
mf. 0 0
Rocco Robert Shein
mf. 0 0
Vlasiy Sinyavskiy
mf. 0 0
Alex Tamm
fw. 0 0
Ioan Yakovlev
fw. 0 0
Substitutes
Niv Eliasi
gk. 0 0
Omri Glazer
gk. 0 0
Denny Gropper
df. 0 0
Guy Mizrahi
df. 0 0
Stav Lemkin
df. 0 0
Dor Peretz
mf. 0 0
Mahmoud Jaber
mf. 0 0
Omri Gandelman
mf. 0 0
Yarin Levi
mf. 0 0
Anan Khalaili
fw. 0 0
Liel Abada
fw. 0 0
Yarden Shua
fw. 0 0

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Andy H
Andy H
Site Manager
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