The Matchday 3 clash in the 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifiers between Estonia and Israel will take place on June 6 at the A. Le Coq Arena in Tallinn. Estonia vs. Israel: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Estonia
In the first round of the current qualifying cycle, Jürgen Henn's side lost to Israel (1-2), but in the next match, the team managed to defeat Moldova away with a score of 3-2, ending a streak of four losses in World Cup qualifiers. Notably, Estonia has conceded at least two goals in four consecutive matches in this tournament. However, the team has earned three points and currently sits in second place in Group I.
- At home, Estonia has scored in 5 of their last 6 World Cup qualifying matches.
- The team has lost 6 of their last 8 home games in this tournament (2 wins).
- On home soil, the team has not conceded more than two goals in 12 of their last 14 World Cup qualifying matches.
Predicted lineup for Estonia (4-4-2)
Karl Hein – Michael Schønning-Larsen, Maksim Paskotsi, Märten Kuusk, Joseph Saliste – Markus Poom, Vlasi Sinjavski, Markus Soomets, Martin Miller – Alex Tamm, Rauno Sappinen.
Defender Rasmus Pitson and midfielder Kevor Palumets will miss the match due to suspensions (Pitson is also injured). Defenders Kristo Hussar and Joonas Tamm have left the squad due to injuries. Tanel Tammik and Brent Lepistu have been called up as replacements.
Israel
Ran Ben Shimon's side started this qualifying cycle with a victory over Estonia, but they could not handle Norway in the next round, losing 2-4. Notably, the team's scoring streak in this tournament stretches to six matches, but Israel has conceded in eight consecutive World Cup qualifying games. In Group I, the team occupies third place, trailing their upcoming opponents only on tiebreakers.
- Both teams scored in Israel's last 6 World Cup qualifying matches.
- In their last 10 away games in this tournament, the team has shown uncompromising results: 5 wins and 5 losses.
- Israel has conceded in 6 of their last 8 away World Cup qualifying matches.
Predicted lineup for Israel (4-4-2)
Omri Glazer – Raz Shlomo, Roy Revivo, Eliezer Dasa, Idan Nachmias – Mahmoud Jaber, Oscar Gloukh, Dan Biton, Mohammad Abu Fani – Dor Turgeman, Manor Solomon.
Forwards Tai Baribo, Osher Davida, and Stav Turiel have left the squad due to injuries.
Referee
Willy Delajod (France)
Matches – 6 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 23;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.8;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 50%.
Estonia vs. Israel: Match Prediction
The teams are already familiar with each other, having faced off in March with Israel emerging victorious 2-1. Notably, Ran Ben Shimon's side dominated in many statistical categories. I believe Israel has a better chance of earning points in this upcoming match.
Israel has been inconsistent on the road in World Cup qualifiers but usually only falters against superior opponents. In the previous qualifying cycle, the team comfortably defeated the Faroe Islands and Moldova away. Estonia, even at home, rarely delights their supporters: in their last 8 World Cup qualifying matches, they have only two wins and six losses.
Additionally, matches involving Israel tend to be high-scoring, with at least two goals scored in the team's last 10 World Cup qualifying games. I expect this trend to continue in the upcoming encounter.
My prediction: Israel will not lose and Total over 1.5 goals